Wyoming Week Looms Large
This week, as yields on the 30-year Treasury bond reached levels last seen in 2007, the institutional presence dominating the airwaves has been not Warsh, but Treasury Secretary Bessent
SeekingAlpha13 gün önceTLT
3 Things - The Buyback That Shook The World
The US Treasury announced a $2 billion buyback program this week.
SeekingAlpha13 gün önceTLT
Ray Dalio Says Dump Bonds, Buy Gold: 4 ETFs in Focus as US Debt Risks Rise
Ray Dalio warns a U.S. debt crisis could be years away. Here's how gold, Bitcoin, short-term Treasury and long-duration bond ETFs could respond.
Benzinga14 gün önceTLT
Rate Fears Overblown
Rate fear is rampant but misinterpreted as usual. If one reviews history, 10yr rates always rise with rising investor optimism.
SeekingAlpha14 gün önceTLT
Brad Simpson On Navigating A More Uncertain World
Markets may be shifting from an era of efficiency, globalization & low inflation to resilience, security & industrial capacity. Brad Simpson discusses what that means for portfolio strategy.
SeekingAlpha14 gün önceTLT
Mixed Signals On Whether It Is Time To Buy Long-Term Bonds
Bond market sentiment nears historic bearish extremesâoften signaling a bond-buying opportunity and potential rate peak. Click here to read the details.
SeekingAlpha14 gün önceTLT
Treasury Intervention Puts The Dollar Under Pressure
The rise in Treasury yields and response from the Treasury Dept. were the main developments of the week. Markets may increasingly view a weaker dollar as the price of lower borrowing yields.
SeekingAlpha14 gün önceTLT
Bessent Broke It: Only Warsh Can Fix It
Market stability now hinges on Kevin Warsh's and the Fed's willingness to coordinate with Treasury to manage rates and inflation. Read full analysis here.
SeekingAlpha14 gün önceTLT
I'm Souring On Bonds As The Debt Hits $40 Trillion
U.S. debt tops $40T as Treasury boosts bond buybacks, pushing 30-year yields down.
SeekingAlpha15 gün önceTLT
Markets Move Lower As Bond Futures Edge Higher
Investors are trying to digest the Treasury Department's buyback efforts on the long end that broke yesterday.
SeekingAlpha15 gün önceTLT
QUICK SPARK: SPY Gets $1.9B Boost in One Day as QQQ, GLD and SOXL See Outflows
SPY led ETF inflows with $1.89bn as QQQ, GLD and semiconductor ETFs saw major redemptions, signaling a shift toward broad-market exposure.
Benzinga15 gün önceTLT
U.S. Treasury Tries To Slow Surging Yields With A Band‑Aid Fix
The Treasury tried to put a lid on rising yields this week, doubling the size of its bond buyback program in a bid to steady the market.
SeekingAlpha15 gün önceTLT
Bitcoin Eyes Best Week Since Trump's Election Victory: Why Is This A Fed's Warsh Problem?
Bitcoin is up 14.8% this week. Polymarket now sees just a 25% chance of a September hike. The Fed has a credibility problem.
Benzinga15 gün önceTLT
Dollar Policy Reoriented, U.S. Treasury Is Becoming The New Backstop
The US Treasury addressed the US government bond market, saying it will "provide greater liquidity" to support the long end beginning next month. The 30-yr fell 10 bps to 5.19% on the news.
SeekingAlpha15 gün önceTLT
The U.S. Treasury Likely Just Launched A Major Market Shift
The US Treasury just stunned markets by announcing a doubling of long-bond buybacks. Read why this is likely the launching of a major market shift.
SeekingAlpha15 gün önceTLT
The Fed Can't Save Markets This Time
Monetary stimulus is less effective; fiscal dominance and government intervention now drive inflation and bond yields higher. Read more here.
SeekingAlpha16 gün önceTLT
Monetary Policy Stance And Financial Conditions
Financial conditions play a central role in transmission of monetary policy, and broad measures of financial conditions are often used as proxies for characterizing stance of monetary policy
SeekingAlpha16 gün önceTLT
Volatility/Convexity Premia Fall To Lowest YTD Levels On Benign Inflation Data
Cross-asset implied volatilities declined across the board on the back of a run of 'goldilocks' inflation prints that has reinforced hopes the Fed is done hiking. Read more here.
SeekingAlpha16 gün önceTLT
Rates Spark: What Is Going On?
Lots of supposition out there on the drivers of higher long-end yields. A chunk of it is simply a move to a tad above normal.
SeekingAlpha16 gün önceTLT
Treasury Yields Spike As Fiscal Drift And Global Risks Pile Up
The US 30-year Treasury yield rose sharply on Monday, breaking higher after spending the first half of August in a tight range.
SeekingAlpha17 gün önceTLT
Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Return Of The Bond Vigilantes?
The 30-year Treasury yield hits 2007 levels. Nasdaq plans 23-hour trading in December. Google buys Spirit Airlines data to train its AI.
SeekingAlpha17 gün önceTLT
China Slashes US Treasury Holdings to 18-Year Low as 30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 19-Year High
China cuts U.S. Treasury holdings to an 18-year low as yields hit 5.31%, while Beijing boosts gold reserves amid rising risks.
Benzinga17 gün önceTLT
Peter Schiff Says Treasury Yields Are Headed Higher After 19-Year High, Mohamed El-Erian Warns Housing Could Feel the Pain
Economists Peter Schiff and Mohamed El-Erian flagged the 30-year Treasury yield's climb, warning of pressure on housing and borrowing costs.
Benzinga17 gün önceTLT
Three Charts - One Conclusion
While all investment markets are predictive by nature, gold and bonds are the most sensitive in sniffing out market imbalances and the sometimes-volatile rebalancings ahead. Read more here.
SeekingAlpha17 gün önceTLT
Cumberland's Monday Memo
U.S. equity markets finished the week mixed but generally resilient, with the S&P 500 reaching a new record high.
SeekingAlpha17 gün önceTLT
Rates Spark: Heavy Treasuries And Tight Eurozone Liquidity
SeekingAlpha17 gün önceTLT
Retail Companies On The Hotseat This Week
The media will focus on retail earnings, but the bull market is broad and strong without any help from retail, semis, and despite a headwind from bonds. Read more here...
SeekingAlpha18 gün önceTLT
The US Debt Crisis: Where To Hide As Interest Rates Increase And Bubbles Burst
US federal debt tops $39T and risingâlearn what higher interest rates could mean for stocks, housing, and why short-term T-bills may help. Read the full analysis here.
SeekingAlpha18 gün önceTLT
Does The July Retail Decline Mark The Start Of A Growth Downshift?
The surprisingly weak retail sales data for July could be an early sign that the recent slowdown in U.S. economic activity will continue in the second half of the year.
SeekingAlpha18 gün önceTLT
Market Loves To Climb The Wall Of Worry
SeekingAlpha18 gün önceTLT
Rates Spark: Long-End Risks, ECB Conviction And U.K. Data Tests
Lower Fed hike odds have calmed front-end USD rates, but long-end Treasuries remain vulnerable to higher real yields, fiscal supply pressure and yen spillovers.
SeekingAlpha18 gün önceTLT
Is The Bond Market Putting Warsh In A Corner?
Post-July FOMC sell-off has pushed 10-, 20- and 30-year Treasury yields roughly 20 basis points higher, exposing the cost of limited Fed forward guidance for duration-sensitive investors.
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
Old-Fashioned Bond Math For A New-Fashioned Fed
Why diversification still matters in a market increasingly dominated by a handful of mega-cap stocks.
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
Warsh Wants The Federal Reserve To Rethink The Rules
At its most recent meeting, the Federal Reserve held rates constant, as most investors were expecting.
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
Cumberland's Monday Memo
U.S. fixed income markets endured another challenging week as Treasury yields moved higher following the FOMC's decision to leave rates unchanged
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
Is The Angst Over AI Spending And Fed Inaction Warranted?
Headlines have described the recent technology sector weakness as carnage. Yet, the term loses some of its impact when viewed in a broader context. Read more here...
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
A Quiet August? Not For Investors
August is usually a quiet month for markets. Yet, this year is looking different. Investors hoping August will bring a summer lull may be disappointed. Read more here...
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
The Market's Next Move Depends On More Than Earnings
Market momentum is increasingly selective, suggesting the rally may be less broad than indexes imply. This week's earnings are important, but the market's reaction may matter even more.
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
Why The U.S.-Japan Joint Intervention To Prop Up The Yen? Fear Of Treasury Yields Blowing Out If Japan Becomes A Forced Seller
There were fears Japan would have to sell US Treasury securities to raise the USD cash to buy yen, as it battles to prop up the collapsing currency. Read more here.
SeekingAlphageçen ayTLT
