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Positions & Risk

Intermediate6 Min Read

What Is Leverage — and Why You Should Stay Away

Carrying a position on borrowed money. It multiplies gains and losses alike — but what it really takes is your right to decide when to sell.

This piece has a recommendation, and it's more honest to state it upfront: don't use leverage.

The other pieces on this site explain a concept neutrally. This one will explain the mechanics neutrally too — and then say something at the end. The reason is that leverage doesn't merely increase risk: it takes the decision out of your hands.

The Mechanics

You have $10,000 of capital. You borrow $30,000 from your broker and carry $40,000 of stock. Your leverage is 4x.

  • The stock rises 10% — you make $4,000, which is 40% of your capital.
  • The stock falls 10% — you lose $4,000, again 40% of your capital.

So far, the part everyone knows — and it looks symmetric. The real issue comes next.

What It Really Takes: the Calendar

In an unleveraged position, you decide when to sell. Even if the price halves, you can choose to wait, because you owe no one. It hurts, but the decision stays yours.

In a leveraged position that decision is not yours. When the collateral ratio drops below the threshold, the broker sends a margin call. If you can't add money, the position is closed for you — at precisely the worst price, because that's exactly why the call went out.

You can be right and still go broke. The time it takes to be proven right can be longer than the time you can carry the position.

That sentence is the one-line summary of leverage; the rest of this piece is its unpacking.

How Much Drawdown Each Multiple Survives

LeverageDecline that wipes the capitalMargin call, in practice
1x (none)100%Never
2x50%around a 25% decline
4x25%around a 12% decline
10x10%around a 5% decline

The right column matters more: the call arrives long before the position is wiped out. At 4x, a 12% market decline — an ordinary correction — is enough to take you out of the game.

For scale: 10% corrections in the S&P 500 arrive roughly once a year on average. So 4x leverage means "an ordinary once-a-year event erases me."

Why You Shouldn't

1. Your losses aren't symmetric

A position that falls 50% must rise 100% to break even. Leverage magnifies that asymmetry: capital lost with leverage is not the kind of loss an unleveraged portfolio can recover from. See Risk Management

2. You've sold your right to wait

The long-run investor's greatest advantage is the option to wait. Leverage sells exactly that advantage. What you get in exchange is not more return — just a bigger multiple on the same return.

3. Interest quietly eats

Borrowed money isn't free. The annual rate grinds away a little every day, even while the position goes nowhere. For a long-term holder it is a leak running in the background.

4. It degrades your decisions

With leverage, intraday swings become terrifying as a percent of your capital. People do not decide well under that pressure. The worst sales, the worst buys and the most expensive panics happen here.

5. It endangers the rest of your portfolio

When the margin call comes, the broker can sell not just the troubled position but your other holdings too. One leveraged idea can take your healthy positions down with it.

The Invisible Kinds

Everyone thinks leverage means "a margin account." It doesn't. Leverage comes in many forms, and some never show up labeled as leverage:

  • Options: a small premium buys exposure to a much larger notional.
  • Futures: the margin is a small fraction of the contract size.
  • Leveraged ETFs: the leverage is inside the product, invisible in your account.
  • Short selling: carrying borrowed shares is itself a form of leverage.
  • The company's own debt: a leveraged company's stock is inherently more leveraged than a debt-free one's.

The last point escapes most people: you can be running a highly leveraged portfolio without ever touching margin.

If You'll Use It Anyway

We don't recommend it. But if the decision is yours, at minimum be able to answer three questions comfortably:

  • If this position falls 30%, can I still carry it?
  • If I can't, who decides the sale — me, or the collateral ratio?
  • Will the other positions in my portfolio fall at the same time?

If you can't answer all three clearly, the leverage is too much. And even if you can, remember: plenty of professionals answered all three correctly and lost anyway.

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